Three-Year High
Eurozone inflation jumped to 3.3 percent in August, the highest level in three years, as the war in the Middle East kept pushing up energy costs. Well above the European Central Bank's two-percent target, the figure from the EU's statistical office was up sharply from 2.9 percent in July and in line with forecasts by analysts for Bloomberg.
"Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, energy is expected to have the highest annual rate in August," Eurostat said, noting that energy prices were up 14.3 percent in August after rising 10.3 percent in July. The US war against Iran and the near-total closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key energy trade route, have sent global energy costs soaring.
ECB hike expected
"Inflation should remain well above target into next year, as higher gas and food prices put additional upward pressure on the index," said Leo Barincou of Oxford Economics. The ECB is expected to again raise interest rates at its meeting on September 10 to tame the surge in prices, after a first hike in June. ECB chief Christine Lagarde warned in July that the energy shock from the conflict "could intensify further."
"The ECB will hike again next week," said Kamil Kovar at Moody's Analytics, adding that the jury was out on whether the decision would be followed by another increase in December. Core inflation, which strips out volatile energy and food prices, slowed back to 2.4 percent in August. Eurozone inflation was last above 3.3 percent in September 2023, when it stood at 4.3 percent.